domingo, novembro 10, 2013

Abraçar a mudança em vez de tentar incorporá-la

Mais um artigo interessante de Clayton Christensen, "Online education as an agent of transformation".
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Começo por sublinhar a história do barco a vapor, já lá vão cerca de 200 anos mas as forças são as mesmas que continuam a actuar hoje:
"WHEN the first commercially successful steamship traveled the Hudson River in 1807, it didn’t appear to be much of a competitive threat to transoceanic sailing ships. It was more expensive, less reliable and couldn’t travel very far. Sailors (Moi ici: Os incumbentes instaladosdismissed the idea that steam technology could ever measure up — the vast reach of the Atlantic Ocean surely demanded sails. And so steam power gained its foothold as a “disruptive innovation” in inland waterways, where the ability to move against the wind, or when there was no wind at all, was important. (Moi ici: Podemos alterar o texto a negro para o ajustar a muitos outros exemplos e manter os sublinhados a vermelho)
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In 1819, the technology vastly improved, the S.S. Savannah made the first Atlantic crossing powered by steam and sail (in truth, only 80 of the 633-hour voyage was by steam). Sailing ship companies didn’t completely ignore the advancement. They built hybrid ships, adding steam engines to their sailing vessels, but never entered the pure steamship market. Ultimately, they paid the price for this decision. By the early 1900s, with steam able to power a ship across the ocean on its own, and do so faster than the wind, customers migrated to steamships. Every single transoceanic sailing-ship company went out of business.
Traditional colleges are currently on their hybrid voyage across the ocean.
Like steam, online education is a disruptive innovation — one that introduces more convenient and affordable products or services that over time transform sectors. Yet many bricks-and-mortar colleges are making the same mistake as the once-dominant tall ships: they offer online courses but are not changing the existing model.
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The lessons from any number of industries teach us that those that truly innovate — fundamentally transforming the model, instead of just incorporating the technology into established methods of operation ­ — will have the final say."
Talvez a melhor forma de actuar não seja tentar incorporar a mudança na empresa incumbente... talvez seja mais fácil criar uma empresa paralela, dar-lhe o capital de semente e atirá-la aos lobos para que se desenrodilhe e aprenda a criar um novo modelo de negócio adequado à nova realidade que aí virá. Se o não fizer e se houver suficiente liberdade económica, a sua empresa de hoje acabará como esta "Blockbuster fechará lojas e centros de distribuição nos EUA em janeiro".
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BTW, Christensen escreve sobre esse mundo conservador que são as universidades... pois, estão a ver o filme.

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